Irish Polling Report

A place to discuss Irish opinion polls

GE prediction competition

with 7 comments


As promised, I’m running two prediction competitions for the forthcoming GE. The first will be based on predictions made in the first week of the campaign, and entries will be taken from 1st-7th February (Irish time!). Competitors will give their best estimate of the seats (and percentage vote share) in each constituency. The winner will be the entrant who is least out in terms of total seats for each party (e.g. if 2 too many for FF and 2 too few for FG, you are 4 out). If there is a tie, it will go to whoever was least out in percentage shares of the vote in each constituency. The winner will not gain any great riches for him/herself, but a small (€10) donation to a charity chosen by them, really just something to make it interesting. A similar prize awaits the winner of a second such competition I’ll arrange for the last week of the campaign (with entries taken up to the close of the polls).

Entries should be entered into the spreadsheet downloadable at this address (you may be asked to wait 20 seconds before downloading), and when you complete this, please save it and send to . Needless to say, I’ll not use your details for anything other than the competition.

If you have any problems downloading the spreadsheet (or making it work) drop me a mail and I’ll do my best to sort it out.

Good luck!


Written by Dotski

February 2, 2011 at 12:16 am

Posted in Uncategorized

7 Responses

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  1. And just to say folks, thanks for the comments on the other recent threads, some v. interesting, I’ll comment on tomorrow, but am wrecked and need to head to bed!



    February 2, 2011 at 12:26 am

    • Ah, I assume “Limerick E” is Limerick City, “Limerick W” is County Limerick and “Kerry N” is Kerry North-Limerick West?


      February 2, 2011 at 4:46 pm

      • Yes, sorry, I stil think of them by the names of their predecessors!


        February 2, 2011 at 5:26 pm

  2. […] […]

    GE prediction competition

    February 2, 2011 at 10:09 pm

  3. […] – but if you need a ‘statto’ fix, why not enter the prediction competition here […]

  4. […] pass my eye over them and report anything interesting. In the meantime, a reminder that the predictions competition closes midnight on Monday night/Tuesday morning – any late entries will go into the […]

  5. […] a reminder that the first GE prediction competition (for predictions made in the first week) closes at midnight tonight. While there has been about 100 […]

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