17:50 update
Folks,
By my reckoning, likely vote shares after the remaining counts come in are roughly;
FF 17.2%
FG 35.7%
LP 20.6%
SF 9.6%
GP 1.8%
OTH 15%
Quite close to the exit poll, and arguably closer to my prediction yesterday (described by one tweeter as “spooky” earlier today) which was;
% | seats | |
FF | 16.3% | 20 |
FG | 37.9% | 73 |
LP | 19.5% | 42 |
GP | 2.0% | 0 |
SF | 9.8% | 10 |
oth | 14.5% | 21 |
For what its worth, my current prediction is;
FF 22
FG 73
LP 39
SF 12
OTH 20
A lot of water to go under the bridge before the accuracy of these is decided….
D
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