17:50 update

Folks,

By my reckoning, likely vote shares after the remaining counts come in are roughly;

FF 17.2%

FG 35.7%

LP 20.6%

SF 9.6%

GP 1.8%

OTH 15%

Quite close to the exit poll, and arguably closer to my prediction yesterday (described by one tweeter as “spooky” earlier today) which was;

	%	seats
FF	16.3%	20
FG	37.9%	73
LP	19.5%	42
GP	2.0%	0
SF	9.8%	10
oth	14.5%	21

For what its worth, my current prediction is;

FF 22

FG 73

LP 39

SF 12

OTH 20

A lot of water to go under the bridge before the accuracy of these is decided….

D

 

 

 

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