Irish Polling Report

A place to discuss Irish opinion polls


with 5 comments

Have visitors so not much time, but attached pic has IPR projections of latest RedC being reported in blogosphere. Enjoy.


Written by Dotski

March 24, 2012 at 6:54 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

5 Responses

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  1. […] links to Dotski’s outline of possible seat numbers off the back of this. And quite a read it is too. FG: 67 Lab: 29 SF: 27 FF: 19 ULA: 4 Oth: 20 GP: […]

  2. I’d find it difficult to envision the LP retaining the transfer friendliness they had at the last election. Pretty much unsurprised about the other figures. How did you get the ULA percentage?


    March 25, 2012 at 5:22 pm

    • They’d do worse from SF/ULA, but better from FG as in GE they were pushing for a majority without LP in final days, also some candidates better established now.

      Situation with OTH/ULA figure very far from ideal, am assuming GP around GE level, and ULA proportion of remainder of OTH at same level as at GE. In practise what polling I’ve heard of suggests they are lower, which would make sense as some of that OTH is personal votes for party rebels e.g. Penrose, but nothing hard enough to adjust beyond that.


      March 25, 2012 at 7:58 pm

  3. […] contrary to suggestions elsewhere, it is not for RedC, as while it differs little from the previous SBP/RedC¬†from 24th March (when SF were 18%) it is up from a more recent RedC effort (using the same […]

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